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BP-027Finance & Accounting

AI Cash Flow Forecaster

See your cash position weeks ahead, with scenarios and early warnings.

Project range
$6,000–13,000
AWS running cost
$50–240/mo
Time to deploy
3–5 weeks
Best-fit industries
Construction, Retail

Executive summary

A forecasting tool that projects your cash position weeks and months ahead by combining receivables, payables, payroll, and seasonal patterns. It flags projected shortfalls early, models what-if scenarios (a delayed customer, a big hire, a new loan), and gives owners the confidence to invest or the warning to act — replacing a nervous glance at the bank balance.

Business problem

Most small businesses run on the current bank balance and a mental model of what's coming. Receivables slip, seasonal dips surprise, and a single late payment can trigger a crunch. There's no forward view to plan hiring, purchases, or financing with confidence.

Architecture

AWS services

Amazon EventBridge

Messaging
  • Schedule data syncs and forecast runs
  • Trigger shortfall alerts

AWS Lambda

Compute
  • Run forecasting and scenario logic
  • Assemble projections and narratives

Amazon S3

Storage
  • Financial history and model inputs
  • Retention lifecycle

Forecast model

Compute
  • Project cash from AR, AP, payroll, and seasonality
  • Confidence ranges per period

Amazon Bedrock

AI / ML
  • Generate plain-language narrative and drivers
  • Model what-if scenarios on request

Amazon DynamoDB

Database
  • Projections, scenarios, and assumptions

Amazon QuickSight

Observability
  • Cash-position and scenario dashboards

Amazon SNS

Messaging
  • Alert owners to projected shortfalls

Amazon CloudWatch

Observability
  • Logs, metrics, and cost alarms

Data flow

  1. 1

    On a schedule, EventBridge syncs accounting, bank, and payroll data into S3.

  2. 2

    The forecast model projects cash by period from receivables, payables, payroll, and seasonal patterns.

  3. 3

    Bedrock writes a plain-language narrative of drivers and runs what-if scenarios on request.

  4. 4

    Projections and assumptions are stored in DynamoDB and visualized in QuickSight.

  5. 5

    SNS alerts the owner when a shortfall is projected, with enough lead time to act.

Security considerations

  • Financial data encrypted at rest and in transit; access-controlled.
  • Read-only connections to accounting and banking by default.
  • Least-privilege IAM; credentials in Secrets Manager.
  • Assumptions and scenarios are transparent and auditable.

Cost considerations

  • Bedrock narrative and scenario generation is the main variable cost.
  • Scheduled batch runs keep compute low and predictable.
  • S3, DynamoDB, and EventBridge are inexpensive at rest.

Scalability

  • Serverless throughout; scales across entities and accounts.
  • New data sources attach as read-only adapters.
  • Forecast horizon and scenario templates are configurable.

Deployment roadmap

Phase 1 — Connect & baseline

Week 1
  • Connect accounting, bank, and payroll data
  • Provision AWS foundation and establish a baseline forecast

Phase 2 — Build & validate

Weeks 2–4
  • Build forecast model and scenarios
  • Validate against recent actuals

Phase 3 — Dashboards & alerts

Week 5
  • Stand up dashboards and shortfall alerts
  • Tune assumptions with the owner

Future enhancements

  • Financing and line-of-credit recommendations.
  • Customer-level collection risk and DSO forecasting.
  • Automatic reforecasting as actuals post.
  • Integration with the accounts-payable and BI blueprints.